Justin McLeod's Blog

July 20, 2012
(Page 24 of 40)

And the Oscar Goes to....

I love the Oscars.  I've been predicting the winners since I was a kid.  Some years I've done well, others not so much.  For the last couple of years, I've made a point to watch all the nominees in the major categories.  I've seen all the movies this year except one.  Javier Bardem is nominated for Biutiful.  Because it is a foreign language film, he hasn't been widely released.  A quick note before I predict.  I believe strongly the best person should win.  I don't like when people say "it's his time" (awarding someone because they've been snubbed before) or "she will have another chance" (basically she is young and will be nominated in the future).  Ok, here we go.

Best Picture

127 Hours- good movie, intense
The Fighter- great movie, well acted
Black Swan- weird movie but good
Inception- Excellent movie after you watch it three times
The Kids Are All Right- ok movie, didn't love it
The King's Speech- good story, well acted
The Social Network- great movie, good score
Toy Story 3- this movie made me cry.  I love the Pixar movies
True Grit- good movie
Winter's Bone- haunting movie, well acted, great story

Frankly, I think Inception was the best movie of the year but it won't win.  Most pundits say it's between The King's Speech and Social Network. I think most Oscar voters will go with The King's Speech.  I liked the movie but thought the Social Network was better.  They took a boring subject matter and made it extremely interesting and fun to watch.

Will Win:  The King's Speech
Should Win:  Social Network

Best Actor

Jeff Bridges, True Grit- good performance but not Oscar worthy
Javier Bardem, Biutiful- didn't see it
Jesse Eisenberg, Social Network- great performance
Colin Firth, The King's Speech- great performance
James Franco, 127 Hours- unbelievable performance.

All the pundits seem to agree Colin Firth will win.  I think James Franco gave a better performance.  He blew me away.  Firth is a great actor but I think he gave a better performance last year in A Single Man.  Jesse Eisenberg was also memorable as Mark Zuckerberg.  I am ok with Firth winning but think Franco gave the best performance of the year.

Will Win:  Colin Firth
Should Win:  James Franco

Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale, The Fighter- great performance
John Hawkes, Winter's Bone- haunting and memorable performance
Jeremy Renner, The Town- ok performance, wouldn't get my vote
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right- ok performance, wouldn't get my vote
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech- great performance, memorable

I am torn with this category.  Most pundits say Christian Bale will win.  He should.  It was a great performance.  But I thought Geoffrey Rush gave a really memorable performance.  I think he stole the show.  If he hadn't won an Oscar already, I think he would be more of a contender.  Also, can't overlook John Hawkes' performance as a meth addict.  One moment you hated him, the next you liked him.  

Will Win:  Christian Bale
Should Win:  Geoffrey Rush

Best Actress

Annette Bening, The Kids are All Right- good performance
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole- great performance. Bravo!
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone- wow, great performance considering she is only 20
Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine- heart wrenching performance. Will win an Oscar one day
Natalie Portman, Black Swan- great performance

Pundits say it's between Natalie Portman and Annette Bening.  It's hard to believe Bening has been nominated four times and has never won but my vote is for Portman.  Nicole Kidman was memorable in Rabbit Hole.  I think she would be more of a contender if she hadn't won an Oscar already.  Michelle Williams blew me away in Blue Valentine.  She will win an Oscar one day.  I hope to see more from Jennifer Lawrence in the future.  She has a lot of potential.

Will Win:  Natalie Portman
Should Win:  Natalie Portman

Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, The Fighter- ok performance
Helena Bonham-Carter, The King's Speech- ok performance
Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom, haunting performance.  This woman scared me
Melissa Leo, The Fighter- great and memorable performance
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit, hard to believe this girl is only 14

This seems to be the most unpredictable category.  Melissa Leo won the Golden Globe and SAG.  She gave a great performance.  My vote is on her but won't be surprised if she loses.  To me, Jacki Weaver gave the most memorable performance but I don't think she will win.  Hailee Steinfeld could end up picking up the award.  She was great in True Grit but wasn't that a lead role?

Will Win:  Melissa Leo
Should Win:  Jacki Weaver


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